Celtics or Warriors: Who has the better chance to rally from 3-1? Those limitations will hamper any comeback hopes, but the Celtics' ceiling without Tatum is still higher than the Warriors' sans Curry. ESPN's Basketball Power Index gives the Celtics a 7% chance to advance to the conference finals, versus 5% for the Warriors. But in close games, Caruso looks fresh, plays more and shines. According to box plus-minus, entering Tuesday's games, Caruso had been the second-most valuable per-minute player in the playoffs this year, behind only Giannis Antetokounmpo.