Open Extended ReactionsNo matter how we go about setting our preseason expectations for the 2025 college football season -- polls, computer projections, pure gut instincts -- we're going to end up mostly right. We're going to assume that the teams that were the best last season will be the best this season, and that's going to bear out in most instances. On average, these teams regress the next season 61% of the time, 32% by at least a touchdown. The rules of roster management have been completely altered, but since 2021 we've still seen 18.3 teams improving by 10-plus points in a given season. Of those teams that stumble, 64% of them improve the next season and 36% by at least a touchdown.