War Profiteers Furious After Polymarket Refuses to Pay Out on Venezuelan Invasion Bets
Joe Wilkins
created: Jan. 11, 2026, 3 p.m. | updated: Jan. 21, 2026, 2:59 p.m.
Nearly a week after US strikes bombarded Venezuela during the kidnapping of its president Nicolás Maduro, betting platform Polymarket is refusing to pay out users who gambled on the invasion of Venezeula.
To those who wagered on such an outcome, the events of January 3rd were proof positive that an invasion had taken place.
They are openly changing the rules and manipulating the market,” one user who bet $123 on the outcome complained.
“A major investigation file is being prepared regarding Polymarket by the US Department of Justice.
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